| Citation: |
FANG Jie, WANG Jie, LI Honglan, FENG Guoshan, WU Hua, JIANG Yufei, JIANG Yu, ZHANG Lei, ZHANG Yun, ZHOU Peng, XIA Qinghua, ZHAO Wensui, XIANG Yongbing. Trends of Pancreatic Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Changning District of Shanghai[J]. Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment, 2021, 48(7): 727-732. DOI: 10.3971/j.issn.1000-8578.2021.20.1116
|
To analyze the secular trends of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality in Changning district of Shanghai from 1974 to 2013.
We calculated the age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality and the average annual percent changes for pancreatic cancer using Segi's world standard population and the data from Shanghai Cancer Registry. Age-period-cohort model was constructed to further assess the effect of age, diagnosis period and birth cohort on the secular trends of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality.
During 1974-2013, the age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were 6.49/105 and 6.01/105 in male, 4.83/105 and 4.57/105 in female, respectively. The age-standardized incidence was increased by 0.8% per year in male during past 40 years, while there was no change in mortality. The age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were increased by 1.6% and 1.3% per year in female. After adjusting the effects of diagnosis period and birth cohort, the incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer increased by about 11% every 5 years older in both male and female. Diagnosis period and birth cohort had no statistical impact on the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer.
The age-standardized incidence of pancreatic cancer shows significantly rising trends during 1974-2013 in both male and female in Changning district of Shanghai, as well as the age-standardized mortality in female. The incidence and mortality rates also increase with age.
Competing interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
| [1] |
Rawla P, Sunkara T, Gaduputi V. Epidemiology of Pancreatic Cancer: Global Trends, Etiology and Risk Factors[J]. World J Oncol, 2019, 10(1): 10-27. doi: 10.14740/wjon1166
|
| [2] |
International Agency for Research on Cancer 2018[DB/OL]. [2020-3-29]. http://gco.iarc.fr/today.
|
| [3] |
Chen W, Zheng R, Baade PD, et al. Cancer Statistics in China, 2015[J]. CA Cancer J Clin, 2016, 66(2): 115-132. doi: 10.3322/caac.21338
|
| [4] |
鲍萍萍, 吴春晓, 张敏璐, 等. 2015年上海市恶性肿瘤流行特征分析[J]. 中国癌症杂志, 2019, 29(2): 81-99. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGAZ201902001.htm
Bao PP, Wu CX, Zhang ML, et al. Report of cancer epidemiology in Shanghai, 2015[J]. Zhongguo Ai Zheng Za Zhi, 2019, 29(2): 81-99. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGAZ201902001.htm
|
| [5] |
顾凯, 吴春晓, 鲍萍萍, 等. 上海市区1973至2007年胰腺癌的发病趋势[J]. 诊断学理论与实践, 2011, 10(4): 320-324. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZDLS201104010.htm
Gu K, Wu XC, Bao PP, et al. Trend in pancreatic cancer incidence in Shanghai urban area, 1973-2007[J]. Zhen Duan Xue Li Lun Yu Shi Jian, 2011, 10(4): 320-324. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZDLS201104010.htm
|
| [6] |
上海市长宁区统计局课题组. 上海长宁区人口结构变迁与经济转型发展的关系研究[J]. 统计科学与实践, 2012, (9): 22-24. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-8905.2012.09.006
Research group of Shanghai Changning District Bureau of Statistics. The relationship between population structure change and economic transformation and development in Changning District of Shanghai[J]. Tong Ji Ke Xue Yu Shi Jian, 2012, (9): 22-24. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-8905.2012.09.006
|
| [7] |
张薇, 鲍萍萍, 项永兵. 上海市肿瘤登记工作的历史、发展和现况[J]. 上海预防医学, 2019, 31(9): 717-723. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHYI201909003.htm
Zhang W, Bao PP, Xiang YB. History, development and current status of cancer registration in Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Yu Fang Yi Xue, 2019, 31(9): 717-723. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SHYI201909003.htm
|
| [8] |
国家癌症中心. 中国肿瘤登记工作指导手册(2016)[M]. 北京: 人民卫生出版社, 2016: 33-75.
National Cancer Center. Chinese Guideline for Cancer Registration[M]. Beijing: People's Medical Publishing House, 2016: 33-75.
|
| [9] |
Kim HJ, Fay MP, Feuer EJ, et al. Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates[J]. Stat Med, 2000, 19(3): 335-351. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(20000215)19:3<335::AID-SIM336>3.0.CO;2-Z
|
| [10] |
Rosenberg PS, Check DP, Anderson WF. A web tool for age-period-cohort analysis of cancer incidence and mortality rates[J]. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev, 2014, 23(11) : 2296-2302. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-14-0300
|
| [11] |
黄照, 马文军. 年龄-时期-队列模型[J]. 华南预防医学, 2017, 43(4): 373-376. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDWF201704020.htm
Hang Z, Ma WJ. Age-Period-Cohort Model[J]. Hua Nan Yu Fang Yi Xue, 2017, 43(4): 373-376. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GDWF201704020.htm
|
| [12] |
陈万青, 王庆生, 张四维, 等. 2003-2007年中国胰腺癌发病与死亡分析[J]. 中国肿瘤, 2012, 11(4): 248-253. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHLU201204002.htm
Chen WQ, Wang QS, Zhang SW, et al. An Analysis of Incidence and Mortality of Pancreas Cancer in China, 2003-2007[J]. Zhongguo Zhong Liu, 2012, 11(4): 248-253. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHLU201204002.htm
|
| [13] |
蔡慧, 徐光寰, 王珏, 等. 上海市原卢湾区2004-2011年消化系统常见肿瘤的发病和死亡趋势分析[J]. 中国临床医学, 2018, 25(4): 542-548. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-LCYX201804007.htm
Cai H, Xu GH, Wang J, et al. Analysis of incidence and mortality trends of common gastrointestinal cancers in Luwan District of Shanghai from 2004 to 2011[J]. Zhongguo Lin Chuang Yi Xue, 2018, 25(4): 542-548. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-LCYX201804007.htm
|
| [14] |
毛铁波, 崔玖洁, 王理伟. 从基础到临床: 2019年胰腺癌研究进展[J]. 中国癌症杂志, 2020, 30(2): 81-89. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGAZ202002001.htm
Mao TB, Cui JJ, Wang LW, Research progress in pancreatic cancer in 2019 from experimental study to clinical evaluation[J]. Zhongguo Ai Zheng Za Zhi, 2020, 30(2): 81-89. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGAZ202002001.htm
|
| [15] |
刘梦奇, 吉顺荣, 徐晓武, 等. 2019年胰腺癌研究及诊疗新进展[J]. 中国癌症杂志, 2020, 30(1): 1-10. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGAZ202001001.htm
Liu MQ, Ji SR, Xu XW, et al. Advance in basic research, clinical diagnosis and treatment of pancreatic cancer in 2019[J]. Zhogguo Ai Zheng Za Zhi, 2020, 30(1): 1-10. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGAZ202001001.htm
|
| [16] |
马万里, 俞玲玲, 薛峰, 等. 浙江省嘉善县1988-2012年胰腺癌发病特征及趋势[J]. 中国肿瘤, 2015, 24(3): 181-185. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-4136.2015.03.011
Ma WL, Yu LL, Xue F, et al. Characteristics and Trend of Pancreatic Cancer Incidence in Jiashan County, Zhejiang Province, 1988-2012[J]. Zhongguo Zhong Liu, 2015, 24(3): 181-185. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-4136.2015.03.011
|
| [17] |
张永辉, 朱健, 严永峰, 等. 江苏省启东市1972-2016年胰腺癌死亡特征及变化趋势分析[J]. 中国肿瘤, 2020, 29(8): 586-591. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHLU202008005.htm
Zhang YH, Zhu J, Yan YF, et al. Pancreatic Cancer Mortality and Trends in Qidong City, 1972-2016[J]. Zhongguo Zhong Liu, 2020, 29(8): 586-591. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZHLU202008005.htm
|
| [18] |
傅卫. 上海城市健康影响评估机制与评估体系研究[J]. 科学发展, 2021, (1): 92-102. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-6171.2021.01.012
Fu W. Study on Shanghai Urban Health Impact Assessment Mechanism and Assessment System[J]. Ke Xue Fa Zhan, 2021, (1): 92-102. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-6171.2021.01.012
|
| [19] |
Shu XO, Li HL, Yang G, et al. Cohort profile: The Shanghai Men's Health Study[J]. Int J Epidemiol, 2015, 44(3): 810-818. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyv013
|
| [20] |
Zheng W, Chow WH, Yang G, et al. The Shanghai Women's Health Study: rationale, study design, and baseline characteristics[J]. Am J Epidemiol, 2005, 162(11): 1123-1131. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwi322
|
| [21] |
徐晓慧, 曾新颖, 王黎君, 等. 1990年与2017年中国胰腺癌疾病负担分析[J]. 中华流行病学杂志, 2019, 40(9): 1084-1088. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2019.09.012
Xu XH, Zeng XY, Wang LJ, et al. The disease burden of pancreatic cancer in China in 1990 and 2017[J]. Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi, 2019, 40(9): 1084-1088. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2019.09.012
|
Figures(2) / Tables(2)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Copyright © Editorial Department of Cancer Prevention Research 鄂公网安备 42011102005013号 鄂ICP备2022015867号
Supported by: Beijing Renhe Information Technology Co., Ltd. 
DownLoad: