高级搜索

1990―2021年中国和全球及不同社会人口学指数地区甲状腺癌疾病负担的比较分析

A comparative analysis of the diseaseburden of thyroid cancer in China, the world and different socio-demographic index regions from 1990 to 2021

  • 摘要: 目的 比较1990—2021年中国与全球、不同SDI地区甲状腺癌的疾病负担,量化人口增长、老龄化和流行病学改变的贡献,为制定针对性防控策略提供参考。方法 数据来源于1990—2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)数据库,通过Joinpoint回归模型分析甲状腺癌疾病负担变化趋势,以可视化图直观展示疾病负担在不同人群中的分布特征与内部结构差异,采取Das Gupta分解法量化人口增长、老龄化和流行病学改变对DALY率变化的贡献。结果 2021年中国甲状腺癌的ASMR(0.043/10万)和标化DALY率(1.147/10万)低于全球及不同SDI地区,AAPC分别为0.6209、0.7735(P<0.001);各地区YLD率占DALY率的比例均呈上升趋势;2021年中国>70岁男性的疾病负担最高,全球和不同SDI地区的峰值集中在高年龄组女性;老龄化是中国疾病负担增加的主要因素,贡献度为55.24%。结论 中国甲状腺癌疾病负担日益加重,伤残损失健康生命年是主要构成部分;不同区域间的疾病负担存在人口学特征差异,老年男性人群是中国重点防控对象;推动中国疾病负担持续加重的主要驱动因素为老龄化。

     

    Abstract: Abstract:Objective To compare the disease burden of thyroid cancer between China and the world and different SDI regions from 1990 to 2021, and to quantify the contribution of population growth, aging and epidemiological changes, so as to provide reference for formulating targeted prevention and control strategies.Methods The data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database from 1990 to 2021.The trend of thyroid cancer disease burden was analyzed by Joinpoint regression model, and the distribution characteristics and internal structure differences of disease burden in different populations were visually displayed by visual maps. Das Gupta decomposition method was used to quantify the contribution of population growth, aging and epidemiological changes to the change of DALY rate.Results In 2021, the age-standardized mortality rate (0.043/100 000) and age-standardized DALY rate (1.147/100 000) of thyroid cancer in China were lower than those in the world and different SDI regions. The AAPC were 0.6209 and 0.7735 from 1990 to 2021, respectively. The proportion of YLD rate to DALY rate in all regions showed an upward trend.The highest burden of disease was found in men aged 70 years old, and the peak of global and different SDI regions was concentrated in older women. Aging is the main factor in the increase of China 's disease burden, with a contribution of 55.24%.Conclusion The burden of thyroid cancer in China is increasing, and the loss of healthy life years is the main component. There are differences in demographic characteristics of the disease burden between different regions, and the elderly male population is the focus of prevention and control in China. The main driving factor for the continuous increase of disease burden in China is aging.
     

     

/

返回文章
返回