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2009—2019年江苏省肿瘤登记地区宫颈癌发病趋势及年龄变化分析

Trend of Cervical Cancer Incidence and Age Change in Cancer Registration Areas of Jiangsu Province from 2009 to 2019

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析2009—2019年江苏省肿瘤登记地区女性宫颈癌的发病趋势及年龄变化情况。
    方法 选取2009—2019年肿瘤登记数据连续、完整且符合质量标准数据资料,最终纳入16个肿瘤登记处的数据进行趋势分析。统计分析指标包括宫颈癌的粗发病率、标化发病率、平均发病年龄、标化平均发病年龄、平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)等。通过构建出生队列模型,分析2009—2019年出生女性的宫颈癌发病率及其发病趋势。
    结果 2009—2019年江苏省女性宫颈癌的粗发病率的AAPC为5.62%(95%CI:3.47~7.82),标化发病率的AAPC为4.14%(95%CI:2.06~6.27),二者均呈上升趋势。农村宫颈癌的标化发病率(AAPC=4.46,95%CI:1.13~7.91)上升幅度要高于城市(AAPC=3.83,95%CI:2.81~4.86)。女性宫颈癌实际发病平均年龄从2009年的51.53岁增长至2019年的55.07岁(β=0.36,P<0.05),标化平均发病年龄从2009年的48.89岁增加到2019年的50.43岁(β=0.21,P<0.05)。2019年60岁及以上宫颈癌构成比为31.90%,高于2009年的22.40%(β=3.66,P<0.05),且相同年龄组出生年份不同的人群,随着出生年份推移宫颈癌的发病率呈上升趋势。
    结论 2009—2019年江苏省宫颈癌的发病率呈上升趋势,农村地区变化趋势比城市地区更明显,平均发病年龄呈上升趋势。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the changing trends of the incidence and onset age of cervical cancer in Jiangsu Province by using cancer registration data from 2009 to 2019.
    Methods The information of national cancer registries with continuous data from 2009 to 2019 was selected, and the quality control indices of cancer registration must be up to standards. A total of 16 registries were included in this study. Statistical analysis indicators include the crude incidence rate of cervical cancer, age-standardized incidence rate, actual average onset age, age-standardized average onset age, and average annual percentage change (AAPC). A birth cohort model was constructed to analyze the incidence of cervical cancer among women born from 2009 to 2019 and its incidence trend.
    Results From 2009 to 2019, the crude and age-standardized incidence rates of cervical cancer among women in Jiangsu Province showed upward trends, with AAPCs of 5.62% (95%CI: 3.47−7.82) and 4.14% (95%CI: 2.06−6.27), respectively. The incidence rate of cervical cancer in rural areas (AAPC=4.46, 95%CI: 1.13−7.91) increased more than that in urban areas (AAPC=3.83, 95%CI: 2.81−4.86). The actual average onset age of cervical cancer increased from 51.53 years in 2009 to 55.07 years in 2019 (β=0.36, P<0.05). The age-standardized average onset age increased from 48.89 years in 2009 to 50.43 years in 2019 (β=0.21, P<0.05). The age composition ratios of cervical cancer in the age group of 60 years and older were 31.90% in 2019 and 22.40% in 2009 (β=3.66, P<0.05). The incidence of cervical cancer in the same age group of people with different birth years showed an upward trend with the increase in birth year.
    Conclusion From 2009 to 2019, the incidence rate of cervical cancer in Jiangsu Province showed an upward trend, and this trend was more obvious in rural areas than in urban areas. In addition, the average onset age of cervical cancer showed an upward trend.

     

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