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肝癌发病风险预测模型的人群队列研究进展

Progress of Risk Prediction Model for Liver Cancer in Population-Based Cohort Studies

  • 摘要: 肝癌造成了世界范围内重大的肿瘤疾病负担,成为世界各国重要的公共卫生问题之一。发病风险预测模型可预测个体癌症发生的绝对风险。通过对个体进行风险评估,从而在高危人群中有针对性的进行筛查,这对肝癌的一级及二级预防均具有重要作用。本文将对现有人群流行病学观察性研究中队列研究报道进行回顾,旨在探讨基于肝癌发病风险预测模型研究的设计、预测因子和模型性能等关键问题,为未来更全面的肝癌发病风险预测模型的建立提供重要的参考。

     

    Abstract: Liver cancer is a significant global disease burden with a major impact on population health, and it is one of the important concerns in terms of public health worldwide. Cancer risk prediction models can estimate an individual’s absolute risk of developing cancer. Individual risk assessment allows targeted screening of high-risk populations, which is essential for primary and secondary cancer prevention. In this review, we examine existing epidemiological studies to explore key issues in the design, predictive variables, and performance of risk prediction models for liver cancer in the general population. The aim is to provide an important reference for the future development of highly comprehensive liver cancer risk prediction models.

     

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